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Messaggioda dap » 27/02/2011 - 16:39
Pete The Feat strabattuto, vince il vero favorito Rateable Value con Joe Tizzard, da segnare con circoletto rosso per le prossime.
Skipper's Lad si mantiene in quota per tutto il percorso ma non ha lo spunto che gli permetta di piazzarsi.
A Leopardstown ancora Davy Russell che sta portando a compimento una giornata favolosa. Vince con PITTONI (altro da circoletto rosso) mente Townend fa tutto e di più ma si deve accontentare di un terzo poto.
----------------------------
Ed eco a Fontwell un gr. 2 di ottima qualità .
Ore 16.45, "National Spirit Hurdle" sui 4000 mt
Paul Nicholls riprova con Celestial Halo per vedere di cogliere finalmente un successo che manca da tempo al figlio di Galileo.
In sella Harry Skelton.
Ma in agguato c'è Tony McCoy con Karabak allenato da Alan King e di proprietà di JP McManus che sicuramente vorrà veder prontissimo il suo cavallo, dopo la vittoria in dicembre a Cheltenham, dove ha battuto sia Celestial Halo che Sentry Duty, i suoi odierni avversari più insidiosi.
Sentry Duty nion vince dal gennaio 2010 e a Cheltenahm nella corsa suddetta ha fatto en poco.
Ma Nicky Henderson è un mago nel nascondere e poi far riapparire in spolvero i propri allievi.
Da non perdere.
Skipper's Lad si mantiene in quota per tutto il percorso ma non ha lo spunto che gli permetta di piazzarsi.
A Leopardstown ancora Davy Russell che sta portando a compimento una giornata favolosa. Vince con PITTONI (altro da circoletto rosso) mente Townend fa tutto e di più ma si deve accontentare di un terzo poto.
----------------------------
Ed eco a Fontwell un gr. 2 di ottima qualità .
Ore 16.45, "National Spirit Hurdle" sui 4000 mt
Paul Nicholls riprova con Celestial Halo per vedere di cogliere finalmente un successo che manca da tempo al figlio di Galileo.
In sella Harry Skelton.
Ma in agguato c'è Tony McCoy con Karabak allenato da Alan King e di proprietà di JP McManus che sicuramente vorrà veder prontissimo il suo cavallo, dopo la vittoria in dicembre a Cheltenham, dove ha battuto sia Celestial Halo che Sentry Duty, i suoi odierni avversari più insidiosi.
Sentry Duty nion vince dal gennaio 2010 e a Cheltenahm nella corsa suddetta ha fatto en poco.
Ma Nicky Henderson è un mago nel nascondere e poi far riapparire in spolvero i propri allievi.
Da non perdere.
Messaggioda dap » 27/02/2011 - 16:56
Interruzione del video da Fontwell. Dalla cronaca si direbbe che CELESTIAL HALO abbia vinto con sufficiente disinvoltura.
Karabak salta in modo orrendo (letterale dal cronista) uno dei primi ostacoli e dopo non si riprende anche perchè accusa qualche problema agli anteriori.
---------------------------------------
A Leopardstown, Davy Russell è 8/1 e Townend ha l'ultimo cavallo della lavagna, 14/1. Craberry non partecipa.
OSIRYXAMIX con Robbie Power dovrebbe vincere a meno di errori sempre preventivabili.
Karabak salta in modo orrendo (letterale dal cronista) uno dei primi ostacoli e dopo non si riprende anche perchè accusa qualche problema agli anteriori.
---------------------------------------
A Leopardstown, Davy Russell è 8/1 e Townend ha l'ultimo cavallo della lavagna, 14/1. Craberry non partecipa.
OSIRYXAMIX con Robbie Power dovrebbe vincere a meno di errori sempre preventivabili.
Messaggioda dap » 27/02/2011 - 17:22
Handicap Chase (grade B) a Leopardstown.
Stavolta Townend con RED VINTO ha le carte migliori rispetto a Carberry che deve contentarsi di stare a guardare (sulla carta) con Rahan De Marcigny.
Barry Geraghty conta più di loro con GOT ATTITUDE, ma i favori vanno a Questions Answered con Casey, che ha progetti ambiziosi per le future prove dei meetings importanti.
Davy Russell mi sa che, al pari di Carberry, stavolta dovrà assistere e stop.
Stavolta Townend con RED VINTO ha le carte migliori rispetto a Carberry che deve contentarsi di stare a guardare (sulla carta) con Rahan De Marcigny.
Barry Geraghty conta più di loro con GOT ATTITUDE, ma i favori vanno a Questions Answered con Casey, che ha progetti ambiziosi per le future prove dei meetings importanti.
Davy Russell mi sa che, al pari di Carberry, stavolta dovrà assistere e stop.
Messaggioda dap » 27/02/2011 - 17:49
Sono proprio dei veri sportivi questi britannici. Il "povero" Paul Carberry, che con Rahan De Marcigny era stato autore di perfetta interpretazione, si è visto battere sul palo dopo furibonda lotta da un cavallo con gli stessi suoi colori, Carrigmartin, montato da Neil Madden che ha dato l'anima per vincere
A Leo si chiude con una NH Flat sulle classiche 2 miglia. E Waheeb montato da McNamara deve proprio sforzarsi per....perderla
A Leo si chiude con una NH Flat sulle classiche 2 miglia. E Waheeb montato da McNamara deve proprio sforzarsi per....perderla
Messaggioda dap » 28/02/2011 - 14:27
dap ha scritto:Carrigmartin, montato da Neil Madden che ha dato l'anima per vincere
Carrigmartin è entrato nel betting del "Centenary Novices' Handicap Chase" ad una quota oscillante tra il 14 e il 20/!.
Eddie Harty, il trainer del 7 anni di JP McManus mentre l'altro, Rahan De Marcigny, è alle cure di Noel Meade, ha detto che il figlio di King's Theatre potrebbe essere, con peso opportuno, protagonista dell'importante handicap del Festival.
Intanto si sono stabilizzate le quote per la "Gold Cup" con la definitiva posizione di favorito per Imperial Commander a 4/1 (William Hill) mentre Long Run 6/1 si pone davanti a Kauto Star e Denman 7/1 nelle valutazioni dei bookmakers.
Denman cmq tende al 6/1 mentre Kauto si trova 7/1 praticamente ovunque.
Diamond Harry fluttua tra il7/1 e 11/1 di Paddy Power.
Messaggioda dap » 28/02/2011 - 15:24
Alla terza di Catterick, oggi 28-02-2010, sarà interessante seguire l'otto anni Folk Tune, allenato da John Quinn e montato da Dougie Costello (che mai mi ha entusiasmato
).
Si tratta di un "Handicap Chase" cl.4 sulle 2 miglia. Il terreno a Catterick oggi è dichiarato good-to-soft.
Questo Folk Tune il 6 febbraio a Musselburgh, stessa distanza e categoria, è arrivato secondo dietro Elite Land ma facendo vedere di poter correre molto meglio.
Se oggi dimostra di essere progredito, magari può aspirare a qualcosa di meglio.
La quota è intorno al 5/2, avversario dichiarato Saddlers Deal che però si ritrova in sella Campbell Gilles.
Forse più attendibile Pamak D'Airy, con Brian Hughes, 4/1 come Saddlers Deal.
ore 16.10
Si tratta di un "Handicap Chase" cl.4 sulle 2 miglia. Il terreno a Catterick oggi è dichiarato good-to-soft.
Questo Folk Tune il 6 febbraio a Musselburgh, stessa distanza e categoria, è arrivato secondo dietro Elite Land ma facendo vedere di poter correre molto meglio.
Se oggi dimostra di essere progredito, magari può aspirare a qualcosa di meglio.
La quota è intorno al 5/2, avversario dichiarato Saddlers Deal che però si ritrova in sella Campbell Gilles.
Forse più attendibile Pamak D'Airy, con Brian Hughes, 4/1 come Saddlers Deal.
ore 16.10
Messaggioda dap » 28/02/2011 - 16:22
Una narice o poco più divide Folk Tune da Saddlers Deal. Arrivo palpitante, con Folk Tune (bene gli ultimi ostacoli) che in piano deve fare i conti con la maggiore potenza del rivale. Il palo non arriva e Costello forse manca di quella energia che invece il bistrattato Campbell usa a dovere.
Direi che Folk Tune ha solo confermato quanto visto, difficilmente può aspirare a salti di qualità .
http://www.racebets.com/it/horse-bettin ... ce/447022/
Direi che Folk Tune ha solo confermato quanto visto, difficilmente può aspirare a salti di qualità .
http://www.racebets.com/it/horse-bettin ... ce/447022/
Messaggioda dap » 01/03/2011 - 16:06
A Leicester, ore 17.10, c'è da vedere Galaxy Rock nel "Rutland Waters Novices' Chase sui 4.700 mt..
Questo 7 anni allenato da Jonjo O'Neill aveva cors sempre con la sfortuna...a favore
Lo scorso anno a Cheltenham era partito controfavorito nel "Bisiness Handicap Hurdle" ma McCoy no era nella giornata giusta e lo fece sbattere un paio di volte.
Ad Aintree in ottobre provò il chase e cadde.
Finalmente il 16 gennaio scorso a Ffos non ha trovato inconvenienti e ha stravinto di 6 senza forzare.
Oggi è atteso alla confema. In sella come sempre McCoy (una volta McLernon). Iutile pensare di trovare quota decente, l'interesse sta nel capire quali progressi ha fatto Galaxy Rock.
Questo 7 anni allenato da Jonjo O'Neill aveva cors sempre con la sfortuna...a favore
Ad Aintree in ottobre provò il chase e cadde.
Finalmente il 16 gennaio scorso a Ffos non ha trovato inconvenienti e ha stravinto di 6 senza forzare.
Oggi è atteso alla confema. In sella come sempre McCoy (una volta McLernon). Iutile pensare di trovare quota decente, l'interesse sta nel capire quali progressi ha fatto Galaxy Rock.
Messaggioda dap » 02/03/2011 - 14:53
E' morto nella notte, nel suo box prob per attacco cardiaco, BACKSPIN, sei anni che era tra i favoriti per il "Neptune Hurdle" ma anche per il "Supreme Novices' Hirdle".
Apparteneva a JPMcManus e lo allenava Jonjo O'Neill.
Aveva vinto a dicembre il gr.1 "Challow Hurdle" a Newbury.
Intanto, dopo un lavoro che ha lasciato a bocca aperta gli astanti, Menorah vede salire le proprie quotazioni per il "Champion Hurdle" con conseguente scesa di quota. Ora si trova un 9/2 tendente al ribasso.
Resta invece ad un interessante 7/2 Binocular (Ladbrokes, Bet365)
William Hill continua a tenere 11/2 Hurricane Fly contro il 9/2 generale.
Unanime invece il 11/2 di Peddlers Cross
Oscar Whisky, Dunguib e Mille Chief si alternano tra il 12/1 e il 14/1.
Inutile ribadire quanto già dicono le quote: corsa apertissima ad ogni evenienza.
--------------------------------------
Apparteneva a JPMcManus e lo allenava Jonjo O'Neill.
Aveva vinto a dicembre il gr.1 "Challow Hurdle" a Newbury.
Intanto, dopo un lavoro che ha lasciato a bocca aperta gli astanti, Menorah vede salire le proprie quotazioni per il "Champion Hurdle" con conseguente scesa di quota. Ora si trova un 9/2 tendente al ribasso.
Resta invece ad un interessante 7/2 Binocular (Ladbrokes, Bet365)
William Hill continua a tenere 11/2 Hurricane Fly contro il 9/2 generale.
Unanime invece il 11/2 di Peddlers Cross
Oscar Whisky, Dunguib e Mille Chief si alternano tra il 12/1 e il 14/1.
Inutile ribadire quanto già dicono le quote: corsa apertissima ad ogni evenienza.
--------------------------------------
Messaggioda dap » 02/03/2011 - 15:34
In un programma di routine, mi sembra valga la pena seguire, magari accompgnando con una scommessa leggera, il 5 anni Pie At Midnight che corre alle 17.20 a Bangor-om-dee.
La corsa è lo "Arkle Finance Handicap Hurdle" sulle 3 miglia.
Il 4 febbraio, proprio sullo stesso tracciato e con terreno pressochè identico, l'allievo di Donald McCain ha vinto dopo lotta molto accesa contro Kingsmere, uno buono.
Gli altri dispersi.
Da notare che PIE AT MIDNIGHT era offerto oltre il 20/1 dai bookmakers e venne seguito al betting con molta convinzione.
Nella prova odierna, una classe 3, non trova oppositori di alto livello. Barrie Burn e Kauto The Rock non valgono Kingsmere.
Resta da vedere se Pie ha mantenuto la condizione di un mese fa.
In sella Jason Maguire, scatenato nella ricerca di affermazioni per smaltire la rabbia pre-Cheltenham.
Quota di apertura 4/1, ora si trova un poco più bassa.
--------------------------
Alle 15.50, sempre a Bangor, pochi partenti ma corsa ricca di motivi interessanti.
"Mares Handicap Hurdle", 3 miglia con COPSEHILL GIRL da battere anche se viene valutata alla stessa quota di Bounds And Leaps.
La corsa è lo "Arkle Finance Handicap Hurdle" sulle 3 miglia.
Il 4 febbraio, proprio sullo stesso tracciato e con terreno pressochè identico, l'allievo di Donald McCain ha vinto dopo lotta molto accesa contro Kingsmere, uno buono.
Gli altri dispersi.
Da notare che PIE AT MIDNIGHT era offerto oltre il 20/1 dai bookmakers e venne seguito al betting con molta convinzione.
Nella prova odierna, una classe 3, non trova oppositori di alto livello. Barrie Burn e Kauto The Rock non valgono Kingsmere.
Resta da vedere se Pie ha mantenuto la condizione di un mese fa.
In sella Jason Maguire, scatenato nella ricerca di affermazioni per smaltire la rabbia pre-Cheltenham.
Quota di apertura 4/1, ora si trova un poco più bassa.
--------------------------
Alle 15.50, sempre a Bangor, pochi partenti ma corsa ricca di motivi interessanti.
"Mares Handicap Hurdle", 3 miglia con COPSEHILL GIRL da battere anche se viene valutata alla stessa quota di Bounds And Leaps.
Messaggioda dap » 02/03/2011 - 19:25
Pie At Midnight vince con sufficiente disinvoltura, anche se Jason Maguire ha dovuto usare in alcuni momenti tutta la forza delle braccia per tenerlo diritto
http://horses.sportinglife.com/Video/Ra ... _3,00.html
PIE è quello con la giubba a quadri grandi blu e bordeaux, il n.5, e si vede agli ultimi ostacoli come Maguire lo faccia saltare in modo prudente perchè il cavallo in velocità tendeva a spostarsi.
Cmq un buon soggetto che certamente vincerà ancora a breve.
http://horses.sportinglife.com/Video/Ra ... _3,00.html
PIE è quello con la giubba a quadri grandi blu e bordeaux, il n.5, e si vede agli ultimi ostacoli come Maguire lo faccia saltare in modo prudente perchè il cavallo in velocità tendeva a spostarsi.
Cmq un buon soggetto che certamente vincerà ancora a breve.
Messaggioda dantana » 02/03/2011 - 20:42
Quello uscito dalla serata nel Devon.
Panel:
MC – Zoey Bird (ZB)
David Pipe (DP)
Nick Williams (NW)
Paul Nicholls (PN)
Philip Hobbs (PH)
Andrew King (AK)
Paddy Power, represented by Paul Binfield (PB)
TUESDAY
ZB: Let’s start with the first race of the 2011 Festival, the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle…Cue Card sets a very high standard…
NW: His best form was shown before Christmas so that would be a worry for me. Nicky Henderson’s horses are flying and both of his (Spirit Son and Sprinter Sacre) can shake up the favourite.
AK: Both of Henderson’s horses are high class. Sprinter Sacre potentially better of the pair but whether they can deal with Cue Card is another matter.
PB: Barry Geraghty has a tough choice between the two Henderson horses but it’ll take a good one to Beat Cue Card
PN: For me Spirit Son is the best of the two Henderson horses. He killed Cedre Bleu here (at Exeter) and I think quite a lot of Cedre Bleu. Al Ferof is a big price though, he jumps really well but he does have to improve.
PH: Cue Card is very good but I agree with Nick that not running for a while may be an issue. Dunraven Storm has a squeak if I can get him there but he banged a joint this week.
ZB: On to the Arkle, Paul, what about Ghizao?
PN: He’s in good order and worked really well on Sunday. His form is good and he goes well fresh. He’s had a little break which was always the plan as we’re looking at good to Cheltenham then Aintree and then Punchestown. I can’t have Finian’s Rainbow so Medermit is the one to beat.
PH: We’ll decide after this weekend about whether Captain Chris goes here or the Jewson. I think 2m4f is his trip but Richard Johnson thinks 2m is! Jewson looks easier.
PB: Starluck is interesting if connections decide to come here, not Aintree.
AK: I thought Captain Chris was unlucky to be beaten by Medermit at Sandown last time but Ghizao is still the one to beat.
NW: Finian’s Rainbow has been running in uncompetitive heats and so Medermit shades it for me.
DP: I quite like Finian’s Rainbow but Ghizao is rock solid. I’d prefer Captain Chris in the 2m4f race (Jewson).
ZB: Champion Hurdle, the main race of the entire meeting?
PH: Menorah is great. Everything has gone to plan, I’m very happy with him and it’s all systems go.
AK: Binocular was very impressive last year and it’s tough to oppose him this year. Menorah and Peddlers Cross the obvious dangers.
PB: Hurricane Fly is a big loser for us but Dunguib is a big price for me.
NW: Front of the betting is solid but of that group I’d just give Menorah the edge.
PN: It’s a good renewal. Menorah and Peddlers Cross are the two I’d like and if Jason Maguire’s ban is upheld I wouldn’t be surprised if Ruby (Walsh) took the ride on Peddlers Cross.
Other Tuesday action…
ZB: David, Great Endeavour for the Andy Stewart sponsored race?
DP: He’s crying out for the step up in trip over fences so we’ll either run here or the Gold Cup.
ZB: Reve De Sivola for the same race Nick?
NW: Off a mark of 140 he should be competitive, the step up in trip will really help.
ZB: Anything else on day one for you Paul?
PN: Definity will run in the Centenary Novices’ Chase. His current mark is very nice.
WEDNESDAY
ZB: Let’s start with the Neptune…
PB: Oscar Wells has been impressive so far but favourites don’t have a great record in this race (two wins in last 10 years).
AK: Minella class didn’t look great when beaten at Huntingdon so now it’s very open.
ZB: So Young?
PB: It’s tricky because we don’t know what might run in the Albert Bartlett. That said, Bobs Worth will be tough to beat in either race!
PN: Rock On Ruby ran well at Cheltenham last time and on better ground I think we can bridge the 2 length gap with Bobs Worth. The form of that race is solid and we have a great chance.
ZB: Time For Rupert sets a solid standard in the RSA?
NW: He’s a strong contender but, like Cue Card, he hasn’t run for a while which could be a problem. Aiteen Thirtythree’s price is wrong compared to the likes of Wymott and Wayward Prince, he should be shorter.
PN: Aiteen Thirtythree is rated 159 which is only 2lbs behind Time For Rupert so the handicapper has them close. I’ve always thought he was a good horse, ever since his Point-to-Point days and he’s done nothing wrong so far. Time For Rupert is the one to beat.
AK: I’d love to see Wishfull Thinking here as for me he as a massive e/w chance. Jessies Dream has a very good chance.
PB: Jessies Dream has a massive chance, along with Master Of The Hall who did it nicely in the Reynoldstown at Ascot last weekend.
ZB: On to the Champion Chase, how is Master Minded Paul?
PN: I don’t think we’ll ever repeat his performance from 3 years ago. He’s had a nice break since Ascot and looked really well at evening stables tonight. I think everyone has us to beat. Woolcombe Folly, on good ground, will go very well. His progress this year has amazed me.
PB: Somersby should run in the Ryanair but Master Minded will be tough to beat. Big Zeb is Paddy Power’s NAP of the meeting.
AK: Master Minded has an excellent chance but Captain Cee Bee is interesting at a price, I know AP McCoy likes him. It’s completely ridiculous that Somersby is running here and not the Ryanair.
ZB: Champion Bumper anyone…?!
PH: Persian Snow’s Ascot defeat was due to the ground but he wouldn’t have a strong chance anyway.
AK: I’d like to see Knight Pass win but Allure Of Illusion is apparently ‘the one’ for Ireland.
PB: Star Neuville is interesting, Shark Hanlon think he’s the best of the Irish. Samain did it nicely last time but who knows what Willie Mullins’ best bumper horse is! I have no idea about Raise The Beat despite there being plenty of money for him recently.
Other Wednesday action…
NW: For Non Stop will definitely run in the Coral Cup. I’m keen on his chances off 135.
PN: Pistolet Noir has a genuine e/w chance in the Coral Cup at a nice price.
DP: Chartreux has been put away deliberately for the Festival, he’s a very nice horse. He’ll make a lovely chaser next year.
THURSDAY
PH: The Jewson is easier than the Arkle and RSA so makes sense so run Wishfull Thinking here.
AK: Captain Chris a cracking bet if running here, the race is tailor-made for him.
NW: Hells Bay is extremely consistent but Wishfull Thinking is the one.
PN: I’m having a tough job getting Royal Charm right. Robinson Collonges is the interesting one. He’s been deliberately kept fresh and he’d have a good chance on good ground.
ZB: Ryanair, Poquelin Paul?
PN: He’s improved since last year and worked really well on Sunday so he’s got a leading chance. Tranquil Sea needs it soft, Riverside Theatre is a ‘maybe’ and Kalahari King has become disappointing so it looks a weak Grade 1.
AK: Poquelin has a massive chance on good ground.
ZB: On to the World Hurdle…a duel between Big Buck’s and Grands Crus?
PN: Big Buck’s is in good form and I’m very happy with him.
DP: There’s maybe more to come from Grands Crus, he’s only had 6 races. Big Buck’s is one of the best and it will be great if we can get both of them there in one piece.
PN: If he doesn’t win it’ll be because he’s beat himself by not being relaxed. The better the race the better he’ll win.
PB: Fiveforthree has had plenty of problems but has always been held in high regard. This looks a proper contest though as Solwhit would be another interesting runner.
ZB: So let’s have a quick head count of the panel, Bucks or Crus? I’m with Big Buck’s.
PB: Big Buck’s
AK: Big Buck’s
NW: Grands Crus
PH: Big Buck’s
FRIDAY
ZB: What wins the Triumph?
PB: Maybe hold your bets on Unaccompanied who I’ve heard a rumour about may go to the Supreme. Be careful.
AK: Grandouet would be choice of the Henderson runners (A Media Luz the other) but not sure of their plans yet. I like Brampour though, the race should suit Paul?
PN: He’s improved since Kempton and better ground will suit. In an open race he has a chance. I shouldn’t have run Sam Winner at Chepstow on soft ground and as it stands he’s the best of mine.
NW: I think that form shown in the 6 weeks prior to the race is very important and so Unaccompanied gets my vote.
PN: The Adonis at Kempton is normally very informative so keep an eye on Saturday’ race.
ZB: Albert Bartlett…
NW: I like Back In Focus, he was impressive at the weekend.
PN: Join Together runs. He has good course form and is improving. Again, it looks an open race so he’d have a chance.
PB: Tricky. First Lieutenant may go for the Neptune but if he line sup here would be interesting.
AK: I liked Court In Motion until he got beat at the weekend! I can’t work him out!
ZB: On to the Gold Cup…
PN: Denman is in good form and working well, he looks great. I didn’t think he was finishing his races so we’ve operated on him. I’m hopeful of a big run, on Hennessy weights he can win.
ZB: Diamond Harry Nick?
NW: 3 weeks after the Hennessy he was still flying and I wish I’d never said he’ll come here fresh. Keeping him at that level for the last 3/4 months has been impossible as he’s galloped far more than I would have wanted and a run would have suited him much better. As a result, I was much happier with him a month after the Hennessy than I am now – I’ve mismanaged him. We got the run of the race in the Hennessy as not only did we get 2st off Denman he basically gave us 10 lengths too by going wide. For him to finish in 3rd was amazing considering everything that happen and the fact we were at our best that day. It was a great effort from him.
PN: Kauto Star’s blood was not right after the King George but he seems fine now. He always works well at home so appears as good as ever. Overall it looks an open race. Long Run’s Cheltenham form is disappointing
AK: Imperial Commander has a big question mark over him as apparently his recent work at Warwick was poor. Not sure Denman and Kauto can win at their age and Long Run is probably better on a flat track so maybe Midnight Chase. He has cracking course form and has a great chance to get in the frame.
PB: Of the Irish, I’d have Pandorama over Kempes but this race looks a cracker with so many potential winners.
CHARITY BETS
PN: Aiteen Thirtythree (RSA)
DP: Midnight Chase e/w (Gold cup)
PH: Menorah (Champion Hurdle)
NW: For Non Stop (Coral Cup)
AK: Captain Cee Bee (Champion Chase)
ZB: Kilcrea Kim (Albert Bartlett)
Panel:
MC – Zoey Bird (ZB)
David Pipe (DP)
Nick Williams (NW)
Paul Nicholls (PN)
Philip Hobbs (PH)
Andrew King (AK)
Paddy Power, represented by Paul Binfield (PB)
TUESDAY
ZB: Let’s start with the first race of the 2011 Festival, the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle…Cue Card sets a very high standard…
NW: His best form was shown before Christmas so that would be a worry for me. Nicky Henderson’s horses are flying and both of his (Spirit Son and Sprinter Sacre) can shake up the favourite.
AK: Both of Henderson’s horses are high class. Sprinter Sacre potentially better of the pair but whether they can deal with Cue Card is another matter.
PB: Barry Geraghty has a tough choice between the two Henderson horses but it’ll take a good one to Beat Cue Card
PN: For me Spirit Son is the best of the two Henderson horses. He killed Cedre Bleu here (at Exeter) and I think quite a lot of Cedre Bleu. Al Ferof is a big price though, he jumps really well but he does have to improve.
PH: Cue Card is very good but I agree with Nick that not running for a while may be an issue. Dunraven Storm has a squeak if I can get him there but he banged a joint this week.
ZB: On to the Arkle, Paul, what about Ghizao?
PN: He’s in good order and worked really well on Sunday. His form is good and he goes well fresh. He’s had a little break which was always the plan as we’re looking at good to Cheltenham then Aintree and then Punchestown. I can’t have Finian’s Rainbow so Medermit is the one to beat.
PH: We’ll decide after this weekend about whether Captain Chris goes here or the Jewson. I think 2m4f is his trip but Richard Johnson thinks 2m is! Jewson looks easier.
PB: Starluck is interesting if connections decide to come here, not Aintree.
AK: I thought Captain Chris was unlucky to be beaten by Medermit at Sandown last time but Ghizao is still the one to beat.
NW: Finian’s Rainbow has been running in uncompetitive heats and so Medermit shades it for me.
DP: I quite like Finian’s Rainbow but Ghizao is rock solid. I’d prefer Captain Chris in the 2m4f race (Jewson).
ZB: Champion Hurdle, the main race of the entire meeting?
PH: Menorah is great. Everything has gone to plan, I’m very happy with him and it’s all systems go.
AK: Binocular was very impressive last year and it’s tough to oppose him this year. Menorah and Peddlers Cross the obvious dangers.
PB: Hurricane Fly is a big loser for us but Dunguib is a big price for me.
NW: Front of the betting is solid but of that group I’d just give Menorah the edge.
PN: It’s a good renewal. Menorah and Peddlers Cross are the two I’d like and if Jason Maguire’s ban is upheld I wouldn’t be surprised if Ruby (Walsh) took the ride on Peddlers Cross.
Other Tuesday action…
ZB: David, Great Endeavour for the Andy Stewart sponsored race?
DP: He’s crying out for the step up in trip over fences so we’ll either run here or the Gold Cup.
ZB: Reve De Sivola for the same race Nick?
NW: Off a mark of 140 he should be competitive, the step up in trip will really help.
ZB: Anything else on day one for you Paul?
PN: Definity will run in the Centenary Novices’ Chase. His current mark is very nice.
WEDNESDAY
ZB: Let’s start with the Neptune…
PB: Oscar Wells has been impressive so far but favourites don’t have a great record in this race (two wins in last 10 years).
AK: Minella class didn’t look great when beaten at Huntingdon so now it’s very open.
ZB: So Young?
PB: It’s tricky because we don’t know what might run in the Albert Bartlett. That said, Bobs Worth will be tough to beat in either race!
PN: Rock On Ruby ran well at Cheltenham last time and on better ground I think we can bridge the 2 length gap with Bobs Worth. The form of that race is solid and we have a great chance.
ZB: Time For Rupert sets a solid standard in the RSA?
NW: He’s a strong contender but, like Cue Card, he hasn’t run for a while which could be a problem. Aiteen Thirtythree’s price is wrong compared to the likes of Wymott and Wayward Prince, he should be shorter.
PN: Aiteen Thirtythree is rated 159 which is only 2lbs behind Time For Rupert so the handicapper has them close. I’ve always thought he was a good horse, ever since his Point-to-Point days and he’s done nothing wrong so far. Time For Rupert is the one to beat.
AK: I’d love to see Wishfull Thinking here as for me he as a massive e/w chance. Jessies Dream has a very good chance.
PB: Jessies Dream has a massive chance, along with Master Of The Hall who did it nicely in the Reynoldstown at Ascot last weekend.
ZB: On to the Champion Chase, how is Master Minded Paul?
PN: I don’t think we’ll ever repeat his performance from 3 years ago. He’s had a nice break since Ascot and looked really well at evening stables tonight. I think everyone has us to beat. Woolcombe Folly, on good ground, will go very well. His progress this year has amazed me.
PB: Somersby should run in the Ryanair but Master Minded will be tough to beat. Big Zeb is Paddy Power’s NAP of the meeting.
AK: Master Minded has an excellent chance but Captain Cee Bee is interesting at a price, I know AP McCoy likes him. It’s completely ridiculous that Somersby is running here and not the Ryanair.
ZB: Champion Bumper anyone…?!
PH: Persian Snow’s Ascot defeat was due to the ground but he wouldn’t have a strong chance anyway.
AK: I’d like to see Knight Pass win but Allure Of Illusion is apparently ‘the one’ for Ireland.
PB: Star Neuville is interesting, Shark Hanlon think he’s the best of the Irish. Samain did it nicely last time but who knows what Willie Mullins’ best bumper horse is! I have no idea about Raise The Beat despite there being plenty of money for him recently.
Other Wednesday action…
NW: For Non Stop will definitely run in the Coral Cup. I’m keen on his chances off 135.
PN: Pistolet Noir has a genuine e/w chance in the Coral Cup at a nice price.
DP: Chartreux has been put away deliberately for the Festival, he’s a very nice horse. He’ll make a lovely chaser next year.
THURSDAY
PH: The Jewson is easier than the Arkle and RSA so makes sense so run Wishfull Thinking here.
AK: Captain Chris a cracking bet if running here, the race is tailor-made for him.
NW: Hells Bay is extremely consistent but Wishfull Thinking is the one.
PN: I’m having a tough job getting Royal Charm right. Robinson Collonges is the interesting one. He’s been deliberately kept fresh and he’d have a good chance on good ground.
ZB: Ryanair, Poquelin Paul?
PN: He’s improved since last year and worked really well on Sunday so he’s got a leading chance. Tranquil Sea needs it soft, Riverside Theatre is a ‘maybe’ and Kalahari King has become disappointing so it looks a weak Grade 1.
AK: Poquelin has a massive chance on good ground.
ZB: On to the World Hurdle…a duel between Big Buck’s and Grands Crus?
PN: Big Buck’s is in good form and I’m very happy with him.
DP: There’s maybe more to come from Grands Crus, he’s only had 6 races. Big Buck’s is one of the best and it will be great if we can get both of them there in one piece.
PN: If he doesn’t win it’ll be because he’s beat himself by not being relaxed. The better the race the better he’ll win.
PB: Fiveforthree has had plenty of problems but has always been held in high regard. This looks a proper contest though as Solwhit would be another interesting runner.
ZB: So let’s have a quick head count of the panel, Bucks or Crus? I’m with Big Buck’s.
PB: Big Buck’s
AK: Big Buck’s
NW: Grands Crus
PH: Big Buck’s
FRIDAY
ZB: What wins the Triumph?
PB: Maybe hold your bets on Unaccompanied who I’ve heard a rumour about may go to the Supreme. Be careful.
AK: Grandouet would be choice of the Henderson runners (A Media Luz the other) but not sure of their plans yet. I like Brampour though, the race should suit Paul?
PN: He’s improved since Kempton and better ground will suit. In an open race he has a chance. I shouldn’t have run Sam Winner at Chepstow on soft ground and as it stands he’s the best of mine.
NW: I think that form shown in the 6 weeks prior to the race is very important and so Unaccompanied gets my vote.
PN: The Adonis at Kempton is normally very informative so keep an eye on Saturday’ race.
ZB: Albert Bartlett…
NW: I like Back In Focus, he was impressive at the weekend.
PN: Join Together runs. He has good course form and is improving. Again, it looks an open race so he’d have a chance.
PB: Tricky. First Lieutenant may go for the Neptune but if he line sup here would be interesting.
AK: I liked Court In Motion until he got beat at the weekend! I can’t work him out!
ZB: On to the Gold Cup…
PN: Denman is in good form and working well, he looks great. I didn’t think he was finishing his races so we’ve operated on him. I’m hopeful of a big run, on Hennessy weights he can win.
ZB: Diamond Harry Nick?
NW: 3 weeks after the Hennessy he was still flying and I wish I’d never said he’ll come here fresh. Keeping him at that level for the last 3/4 months has been impossible as he’s galloped far more than I would have wanted and a run would have suited him much better. As a result, I was much happier with him a month after the Hennessy than I am now – I’ve mismanaged him. We got the run of the race in the Hennessy as not only did we get 2st off Denman he basically gave us 10 lengths too by going wide. For him to finish in 3rd was amazing considering everything that happen and the fact we were at our best that day. It was a great effort from him.
PN: Kauto Star’s blood was not right after the King George but he seems fine now. He always works well at home so appears as good as ever. Overall it looks an open race. Long Run’s Cheltenham form is disappointing
AK: Imperial Commander has a big question mark over him as apparently his recent work at Warwick was poor. Not sure Denman and Kauto can win at their age and Long Run is probably better on a flat track so maybe Midnight Chase. He has cracking course form and has a great chance to get in the frame.
PB: Of the Irish, I’d have Pandorama over Kempes but this race looks a cracker with so many potential winners.
CHARITY BETS
PN: Aiteen Thirtythree (RSA)
DP: Midnight Chase e/w (Gold cup)
PH: Menorah (Champion Hurdle)
NW: For Non Stop (Coral Cup)
AK: Captain Cee Bee (Champion Chase)
ZB: Kilcrea Kim (Albert Bartlett)
il cavallo corre con i polmoni ,persevera con il cuore e vince con il carattere
(federico tesio)
(federico tesio)
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