[quote="cico61"]Dopo aver letto prono tipster B Advice e Globetting, vado abb deciso
sul 2 di Pogon Szczecin - Lech Poznan a quota 2,30 da Expekt.
Da notare che dai drogati era uscito 2,40 ed ora invece è stata tolta dal palinsesto ...speriamo sia un buon segnale :smoke:[/quote
quote mostruse ormai, ovviamnete, andate...probabile uso di morfina purissima anche per i quotisti di Expekt.Dopo aver letto un'analisi in altro forum, ho deciso di provare il Lech @ 1.90 Centrebet con puntata media.Si parla di assenze in entrambe le squadre.Nel Lech alcuni giocatori titolari ed importanti in dubbio per problemi fisici.Da Betfair non c'e' mercato, forse perche' hanno sbagliato la data nel palinsesto...
Pogon ~ V ~ Lech Poznan
Pogon are a VERY poor team. They have started off very badly losing there two matches the second quite heavily 4 - 0 to Zabrze! They have been very bad and conceded too many goals without reply...! This is kind of a derby match, which means the home advantage is much less in my opinion as there is so much more pressure on the teams and the fans want more, much more passion in the game on a whole. Pogon have been outplayed in both of there matches, and it seems that they could be again here. They have not found there feet as of yet in the Polish Premier League! With this, and supporter pressure they do have EVEN MORE problems in the ranks...! Probierz has been released, Julcimar is suspended, Masternak is injured, Pilarz is injured, Tra³ka is injured and Mauro is injured... These players are ALL very important to the team, there are 5 starting players there and one very important subsitute! If Pogon have all these players out it will be a completely different squad and this could cause even more problems, as the players will barely know each other and not know how to play together as well as Pogon can usually play. Pogon are favourites for relegation, and after there poor start they will be even more favourites to go down, this does no good for team morale. Pogon have signed a new striker: Milar who is Uruguayan, but while this has raised team spirits, he is unable to play this weekend as he has not assed ready in time, this is unfortunate for Pogon.
Currently at Betfair, the odds for Lech are at 1.62, while Pogon are much higher at 2.82, it seems that Lech are favourites with the public, even more than the bookmakers in most cases! UNfortunately no money has been matched yet, I find this unusual, but Betfair have made a mistake and misled people as they have put the Lech match on at Saturday instead of Friday misleading many punters... The odds go into favour of Lech as they are unwilling to give high odds for Lech!
Lech have been playing well and have started off extremely well... They have won there first two games very easily! They beat Katowice 3 - 0 very easily away from home, and then in the next match they have beaten Wisla Plock at home 4 - 2 and it could of, and should of been more! Last couple of recent matches Lech have beaten Pogon very easily, the last time being 6 - 0!!! Gajtkowski is the ONLY doubt for Lech which makes there squad even stronger compared to Pogon, Reiss was a doubt but he is back into the squad which makes Lech's attack even stronger, as Reiss is very important to Lech's offensive play I feel. Jakubowski is also injured for Lech, but I don't feel this is massive for Lech, he is easily replaced as they are only against a weak team. Wojcik and Mowlik also ready to play for Lech after injuries and they have come back and I feel they will toughen up Lech's backline after they conceded 2 unneccassary goals to Wisla Plock! Odds are dropping on Lech all the time, some bookmakers even down to 1.35 , BUT SportingBet and some others are at around 1.8 - 1.9 and I feel these are good odds!
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For me, this game has massive value is you can get odds ANYWHERE near around 1.90 - 2.00!! Even though Lech are away, they have a very impressive squad and compared to Pogon who already have a very depleted lline up, I can't see Pogon having a chance. Lech will just be too strong as they have massive dpeth in there squad!
Saluti...
....certo che leggo...come non potrei...lo sai che mi sento in famiglia in questo forum...
...non si respira...ti mando un pm con e-mail e tel. cosi' magari ci si becca in centro per un paio di birre o vodka ghiacciata...